Bull Run Mountain Estates, VA truck route planning & crash data
Plan safer truck routes in Bull Run Mountain Estates: commercial truck and garbage truck crashes in Bull Run Mountain Estates and Prince William County, dangerous roads, seasonality and route safety data for fleets. Patterns use Prince William County numbers.
Where fatal truck crashes happened
Risk scorecard
Key findings
Snapshot
Crashes by month
Garbage trucks vs all trucks
1.3 deaths per 100 garbage-truck crashes vs 1.3 for all trucks.
Deadliest roads
How Prince William County compares with Virginia
Prince William County against Virginia and the US, 2015–2025 (years with complete crash reporting). Per-resident rates make big and small places comparable.
Where Prince William County stands out
Full comparison
| Measure (2015–2025) | Prince William County | Virginia | United States | vs state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crashes per 100k residents / yr | 43.9 | 51.1 | 49.7 | 14% below the state |
| Deaths per 100 crashes | 1.3 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 50% below the state |
| Injuries per crash | 0.49 | 0.44 | 0.49 | 1.1× the state |
| Garbage-truck share | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2× the state |
| On snow, slush or ice | 2.4% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 22% below the state |
| Morning rush (6–10 am) | 25.8% | 22.7% | 23.7% | 1.1× the state |
| In rain, sleet or snow | 13.8% | 14.8% | 13.8% | same |
| Winter months (Nov–Mar) | 38.9% | 39.8% | 41.9% | same |
| After dark | 29.4% | 24.3% | 24.8% | 1.2× the state |
Prince William County has lower values than Virginia for crashes per 100k residents / yr, deaths per 100 crashes and on snow, slush or ice. It runs above Virginia on injuries per crash, garbage-truck share and morning rush (6–10 am).
The headline for Prince William County: September is the peak month for garbage-truck crashes: 15% of them.
Overview
Prince William County has recorded 2,562 truck crashes since 2015, with 1,279 people injured and 36 killed.
That averages about one truck crash every 2 days in fully reported years.
Bull Run Mountain Estates had 0 reported truck crashes since 2015, too few for reliable patterns, so the charts and findings on this page use Prince William County numbers.
86% of truck crash reports in Prince William County since 2015 leave the city field blank; place counts include only reports that name the place.
When crashes happen
August has the most truck crashes, 9.8% of the yearly total, while February has the fewest (6.8%).
Winter months (Nov–Mar) carry 38.9% of truck crashes, vs 39.8% for Virginia.
The busiest hour is 6–7 am, with 7.1% of truck crashes.
Snow, slush or ice was on the road in 2.4% of truck crashes, compared with 3.0% in Virginia.
Where crashes happen
Since 2015, fatal crashes with a large truck within 10 miles of Bull Run Mountain Estates happened on I-66 (3), US-29 (3), CR-2963 (1), CR-606 (1) and CR-662 (1); no road leads clearly.
Garbage & waste trucks
Garbage and refuse trucks were involved in 82 crashes, 3.2% of the total, against 2.5% across Virginia.
The most garbage-truck crashes happen in September (15%).
Deaths per 100 garbage-truck crashes: 1.3, vs 1.3 for all truck crashes.
Route planning tips for Bull Run Mountain Estates fleets
- Build extra time into August routes: it has the most truck crashes here.
- Waste haulers: September is the peak month for garbage-truck crashes in Prince William County.
- 25.8% of truck crashes happen between 6 and 10 am, above Virginia; consider earlier or later starts where possible.
- Use the free Route Planner to score your route and spot low bridges before drivers head out.
About the data
Crash counts come from the FMCSA crash file (police-reported crashes involving trucks over 10,000 lb); fatal-crash locations come from NHTSA FARS. Text on this page states only what these numbers show.
Truck crashes by year: all trucks vs garbage trucks
Seasonality: when trucks crash in Prince William County
By hour of day
Most dangerous roads for trucks
| Road | Fatal truck crashes since 2015 (within 10 miles) |
|---|---|
| I-66 | 3 |
| US-29 | 3 |
| CR-2963 | 1 |
| CR-606 | 1 |
| CR-662 | 1 |
| CR-705 | 1 |
| CR-713 | 1 |
| SR-234 | 1 |
| SR-709 | 1 |
| US-15 | 1 |
Roads named most in all truck crash reports
| Road | Truck crashes since 2015 (Prince William County) |
|---|---|
| I-95 | 484 |
| Prince William Parkway | 134 |
| I-95 South | 112 |
| Dumfries Road | 98 |
| I-95 North | 78 |
| Lee Highway | 62 |
| I-66 East | 53 |
| Sudley Road | 50 |
Bull Run Mountain Estates at a glance
| Land area | 1.8 sq mi |
| Median household income (ZIP 20169) | $203,051 |
| Median home value (ZIP 20169) | $729,757 |
Waste facilities and haulers nearby
Historical data: truck crashes in Prince William County since the 1990s
Combines the FMCSA crash file (all reported truck crashes, real coverage from about 1990) with NHTSA FARS (fatal crashes involving a large truck, 1982–2024).
| Decade | Truck crashes / yr | Change | Fatal crashes / yr (FARS) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1990s | 58 | — | 3.2 |
| 2000s | 132 | +130% | 2.9 |
| 2010s | 186 | +41% | 2.5 |
| 2020s | 246 | +32% | 2.0 |
From the 1990s to the 2020s, yearly reported truck crashes went from 58 to 246. Some of the change may reflect how crashes were reported. Fatal large-truck crashes: 3.0 a year in 2016–19, 2.0 a year in 2020–24.
Nearby places
Questions fleets ask about Bull Run Mountain Estates
How many truck accidents are there in Bull Run Mountain Estates?
Prince William County has had 2,562 reported truck crashes since 2015, injuring 1,279 people and killing 36.
When do most truck crashes happen in Bull Run Mountain Estates?
Truck crashes in Prince William County peak in August, with 9.8% of the year's crashes.
How many garbage truck accidents happen in Bull Run Mountain Estates?
82 crashes involving garbage or refuse trucks have been reported in Prince William County since 2015, 3.2% of all truck crashes.
How does Bull Run Mountain Estates compare with Virginia for truck crashes?
The yearly rate is 43.9 truck crashes per 100,000 residents in Prince William County, vs 51.1 for Virginia.
How can I plan a safer truck route in Bull Run Mountain Estates?
The free Route Planner takes your stops and returns a route risk score, safer alternatives and low-bridge warnings.
2026 is a partial year. Updated October 2026.