Likely, CA truck route planning & crash data
Plan safer truck routes in Likely: commercial truck and garbage truck crashes in Likely and Modoc County, dangerous roads, seasonality and route safety data for fleets. Patterns use Modoc County numbers.
Where fatal truck crashes happened
Risk scorecard
Key findings
Snapshot
Crashes by month
Garbage trucks vs all trucks
0 of 124 truck crashes since 2015.
Deadliest roads
No fatal large-truck crashes with a road name recorded here since 2015.
How Modoc County compares with California
Modoc County against California and the US, 2015–2025 (years with complete crash reporting). Per-resident rates make big and small places comparable.
Where Modoc County stands out
Full comparison
| Measure (2015–2025) | Modoc County | California | United States | vs state |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crashes per 100k residents / yr | 129.5 | 33.2 | 49.7 | 3.9× the state |
| Deaths per 100 crashes | 6.6 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 1.8× the state |
| Injuries per crash | 0.33 | 0.44 | 0.49 | 25% below the state |
| Garbage-truck share | 0.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 100% below the state |
| On snow, slush or ice | 22.3% | 0.9% | 6.2% | 24.0× the state |
| Morning rush (6–10 am) | 15.7% | 23.5% | 23.7% | 33% below the state |
| In rain, sleet or snow | 24.0% | 6.5% | 13.8% | 3.7× the state |
| Winter months (Nov–Mar) | 49.6% | 40.2% | 41.9% | 1.2× the state |
| After dark | 33.1% | 29.1% | 24.8% | 1.1× the state |
Modoc County has lower values than California for injuries per crash, garbage-truck share and morning rush (6–10 am). Where it is higher: crashes per 100k residents / yr, deaths per 100 crashes and on snow, slush or ice.
Modoc County at a glance: 22.3% share of truck crashes on snow, slush or ice (California: 0.9%).
Overview
Police reported 124 crashes involving commercial trucks in Modoc County since 2015: 42 people were injured and 8 were killed.
Across the years with complete reporting, that is roughly one truck crash every 33 days.
With 0 truck crashes reported in Likely since 2015, this page uses Modoc County numbers for its patterns and comparisons.
When crashes happen
Truck crashes peak in February (11.3% of the year) and are lowest in May (4.8%).
Winter months (Nov–Mar) carry 49.6% of truck crashes, vs 40.2% for California.
By time of day, 11 am–12 pm stands out with 8.9% of truck crashes.
Snow, slush or ice was on the road in 22.3% of truck crashes, compared with 0.9% in California.
Where crashes happen
No fatal crash involving a large truck has a recorded location within 10 miles of Likely since 2015.
Garbage & waste trucks
Since 2015, no garbage-truck crashes were reported for Modoc County.
Route planning tips for Likely fleets
- Review driver schedules for February, the month with the most truck crashes.
- With 22.3% of truck crashes on snow, slush or ice (above California), plan winter equipment checks early.
- Check your own stops for crash hotspots and low bridges with the free Route Planner.
About the data
Sources: the FMCSA crash file for all reported truck crashes and NHTSA FARS for fatal crashes with a large truck. Every statement here comes straight from those numbers.
Truck crashes by year: all trucks vs garbage trucks
Seasonality: when trucks crash in Modoc County
By hour of day
Most dangerous roads for trucks
No fatal crashes involving a large truck with a road name were recorded within 10 miles since 2015.
Roads named most in all truck crash reports
| Road | Truck crashes since 2015 (Modoc County) |
|---|---|
| Rt139/200Ft S Tulelake Ag Station | 2 |
| Rt299/.1M W Surrey Ln | 2 |
| Rt299/1.2M W County Rd 85 | 2 |
| SR-139 | 2 |
| SR-299 | 2 |
| Sr139/.1M S Cr112 | 2 |
| Sr299/.4M E Cr195 | 2 |
| County Rd 103/95Ft W Rt139 | 1 |
Likely at a glance
| Land area | 1.3 sq mi |
Waste facilities and haulers nearby
Historical data: truck crashes in Modoc County since the 1990s
Combines the FMCSA crash file (all reported truck crashes, real coverage from about 1990) with NHTSA FARS (fatal crashes involving a large truck, 1982–2024).
| Decade | Truck crashes / yr | Change | Fatal crashes / yr (FARS) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1990s | — | — | 0.2 |
| 2000s | 7 | — | 0.3 |
| 2010s | 6 | -15% | 0.2 |
| 2020s | 13 | +104% | 0.6 |
Reported truck crashes averaged 7 a year in the 2000s and 13 a year in the 2020s. Reporting practices changed over time, so part of any change can come from reporting. NHTSA counts 0.5 fatal large-truck crashes a year in 2016–19 and 0.6 a year in 2020–24.
Nearby places
Questions fleets ask about Likely
How many truck accidents are there in Likely?
Modoc County has had 124 reported truck crashes since 2015, injuring 42 people and killing 8.
What is the worst month for truck crashes in Likely?
The worst month is February: 11.3% of truck crashes in Modoc County happen then.
How many garbage truck crashes are there in Likely?
0 crashes involving garbage or refuse trucks have been reported in Modoc County since 2015, 0.0% of all truck crashes.
What is the truck crash rate in Likely compared with California?
Modoc County records 129.5 truck crashes per 100,000 residents a year, against 33.2 across California.
How can I plan a safer truck route in Likely?
Paste your stops into the free CurbWaste Route Planner: it scores your route against fatal-crash locations, suggests safer alternatives and flags low bridges.
2026 is a partial year. Updated October 2026.